"Ensembles and probabilities: a new era in the prediction of climate change", M. Collins, Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A (2007) 365, 1957-1970 doi:10.1098/rsta.2007.2068
URL: http://rsta.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/roypta/365/1857/1957.full.pdf
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